Manager, BSI Forecasting

About the role

Novartis is looking for a Manager, BSI Forecasting with more than 5.5 years of hands-on experience in forecasting and data-driven decision making. The role works directly with internal stakeholders and reports to the forecasting Lead. It covers oncology forecasting concepts such as incidence-based forecasts, patient cohorts, Lot, Dynamic DoT and persistency curves, and involves exploring, developing, implementing and evaluating digital innovation solutions.

Key responsibilities

• Create and deliver forecasting solutions to internal customers, including strategic 5-year forecasts for in-line and pipeline products, lifecycle management forecasts, BD&L market and product revenue forecasts, monthly revenue forecasts by indication for 24 months and ad-hoc forecasting support.
• Support data-enabled decisions with qualitative and quantitative analytics, and drive design and enhancement of existing services for quality, productivity and value.
• Interface with customers to turn business requirements into solutions, provide documentation and communication throughout delivery, and help maintain knowledge repositories, SOPs and quality checklists.
• Lead knowledge sharing and training sessions, and contribute to functional and organizational business objectives and strategy.
• Comply with Novartis operating procedures and values.

Required profile

• Pharma, science, engineering, math or statistics education with post-graduation; 5.5 to 8.5 years of experience.
• Epi-based forecasting for inline, pipeline and BD&L products, trend-based forecasting, and experience supporting multiple markets, regions and countries.
• Deeper understanding of disease and therapy areas and their application to forecasting, and experience managing data to generate insights.
• Knowledge of EU5, China market access, healthcare and pricing policies, and expertise with datasets such as IQVIA, Evaluate, IPD, Kantar and DRG.

Required skills

• Advanced Excel and PowerPoint (must).
• Basic statistics and forecasting; BI tools, VBA, Python, R or JavaScript are good to have.
• Desirable: effective forecast storytelling, business analysis, analog analysis, proposal writing, mentoring junior team members.